--- title: "Monochrome case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Monochrome ($13.73) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.03% over 12.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Monochrome](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Monochrome A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=all) Price · $13.73 · 19.62 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.03% · 12.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.09% ±15.69 1,703 openings 7 days · 89.34% ±5.68 10.7K openings 30 days · 90.03% ±5.34 12.3K openings since tracking started · 90.03% ±5.34 12.3K openings 80.5% 97.0% 113.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=24h) | 1,703 | 97.09% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=7d) | 10.7K | 89.34% ±5.68 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome) | 12.3K | 90.03% ±5.34 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monochrome?window=all) | 12.3K | 90.03% ±5.34 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-11 07:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-09 20:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-08 06:14 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-07 23:26 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-07 14:15 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-07 10:28 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-07 06:39 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) [Jor](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Jor) $13.73 19.62 coins $873 1,247 coins 63.54x 2026-11-04 16:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=monochrome) [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $128 183 coins 9.31x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Recoil AK-47 (Shark White) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-ak-47-shark-white) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $6.73 9.62 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Recoil AK-47 (Shark White) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-ak-47-shark-white) Hidden $13.73 19.62 coins $6.73 9.62 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $873 (63.54x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt