--- title: "Monogram case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Monogram ($120.67) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.74% over 435 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Monogram](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Monogram A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=all) Price · $120.67 · 172 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.74% · 435 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 45 openings · below min 7 days · 347 openings · below min 30 days · 435 openings · below min since tracking started · 435 openings · below min 33.0% 71.8% 110.5% **Small sample.** 435 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=24h) | 45 | 71.61% ±38.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=7d) | 347 | 94.26% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram) | 435 | 93.74% ±14.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monogram?window=all) | 435 | 93.74% ±14.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-07 00:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-05 05:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-04 23:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-04 19:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $696 994 coins 5.76x 2026-11-04 18:38 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $624 892 coins 5.17x 2026-11-10 20:49 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $624 892 coins 5.17x 2026-11-05 20:04 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $624 892 coins 5.17x 2026-11-03 02:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=monogram) [Baggage Pin pin · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/baggage-pin) Hidden $121 172 coins $0.06 0.09 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $121 172 coins $416 594 coins 3.45x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Baggage Pin pin · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/baggage-pin) Hidden $121 172 coins $0.06 0.09 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $121 172 coins $63.22 90.32 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Baggage Pin pin · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/baggage-pin) Hidden $121 172 coins $0.06 0.09 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $121 172 coins $204 291 coins 1.69x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) Hidden $121 172 coins $350 499 coins 2.90x 2026-11-11 02:58 UTC [Baggage Pin pin · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/baggage-pin) Hidden $121 172 coins $0.06 0.09 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:58 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) Hidden $121 172 coins $350 499 coins 2.90x 2026-11-11 02:58 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $121 172 coins $6.31 9.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $696 (5.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.74 on average: an expected loss of $6.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt