--- title: "Monument case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Monument ($1.59) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.92% over 20.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Monument](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Monument A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=all) Price · $1.59 · 2.27 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.92% · 20.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.00% ±15.03 1,996 openings 7 days · 90.21% ±7.38 15.6K openings 30 days · 87.92% ±6.25 20.3K openings since tracking started · 87.92% ±6.25 20.3K openings 66.5% 82.3% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=24h) | 1,996 | 82.00% ±15.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=7d) | 15.6K | 90.21% ±7.38 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument) | 20.3K | 87.92% ±6.25 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/monument?window=all) | 20.3K | 87.92% ±6.25 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-11 04:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 19:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 14:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 13:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 09:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-10 09:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-09 16:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-09 16:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $152 217 coins 95.45x 2026-11-09 00:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=monument) [Sealed Graffiti | 200 IQ (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-200-iq-shark-white) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-field-tested) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.17 0.25 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Skog, III-Arena music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-skog-iii-arena) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-field-tested) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.17 0.25 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.59 2.27 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $152 (95.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.92 on average: an expected loss of $12.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt