--- title: "Mountain case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mountain ($14.31) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.72% over 3,306 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Mountain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Mountain A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=all) Price · $14.31 · 20.45 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.72% · 3,306 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 487 openings · below min 7 days · 89.97% ±12.20 2,832 openings 30 days · 88.72% ±10.79 3,306 openings since tracking started · 88.72% ±10.79 3,306 openings 62.0% 82.5% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=24h) | 487 | 81.09% ±18.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=7d) | 2,832 | 89.97% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain) | 3,306 | 88.72% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mountain?window=all) | 3,306 | 88.72% ±10.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) [Sterlieee \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Sterlieee%20%3C3) $14.31 20.45 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 79.92x 2026-11-09 20:20 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 79.92x 2026-11-07 18:33 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 79.92x 2026-11-05 07:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mountain) [AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $45.72 65.32 coins 3.19x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $11.76 16.8 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $23.13 33.05 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Piggles (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-piggles-bazooka-pink) Hidden $14.31 20.45 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,144 (79.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.72 on average: an expected loss of $11.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt