--- title: "Mr.Tree case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mr.Tree ($91.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.45% over 1,526 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree rendered: 2026-11-11T19:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Mr.Tree](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Mr.Tree A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=all) Price · $91.08 · 130 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.45% · 1,526 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 339 openings · below min 7 days · 99.31% ±26.10 1,149 openings 30 days · 95.45% ±20.64 1,526 openings since tracking started · 95.45% ±20.64 1,526 openings 65.0% 102.8% 140.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=24h) | 339 | 102.67% ±37.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=7d) | 1,149 | 99.31% ±26.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree) | 1,526 | 95.45% ±20.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mrtree?window=all) | 1,526 | 95.45% ±20.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $91.08 130 coins $8,228 11,754 coins 90.34x 2026-11-06 10:40 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $7,926 11,323 coins 87.03x 2026-11-06 22:15 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 29.36x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 29.36x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 29.36x 2026-11-07 00:01 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 29.36x 2026-11-04 13:17 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 29.36x 2026-11-03 22:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $1,954 2,792 coins 21.45x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [ROBO VERS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ROBO%20VERS) $91.08 130 coins $1,954 2,792 coins 21.45x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $1,954 2,792 coins 21.45x 2026-11-11 08:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mrtree) [Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $122 174 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $8.34 11.91 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $122 174 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $24.14 34.48 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $11.91 17.02 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $398 568 coins 4.37x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) [Geld](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Geld) $91.08 130 coins $43.88 62.68 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) Hidden $91.08 130 coins $91.80 131 coins 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $8,228 (90.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.45 on average: an expected loss of $4.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt