--- title: "MykalCruz case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MykalCruz ($45.96) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.81% over 14K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [MykalCruz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · MykalCruz A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=all) Price · $45.96 · 65.65 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.81% · 14K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.38% ±21.37 1,465 openings 7 days · 88.70% ±9.40 11K openings 30 days · 89.81% ±8.45 14K openings since tracking started · 89.81% ±8.45 14K openings 69.5% 91.5% 113.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=24h) | 1,465 | 91.38% ±21.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=7d) | 11K | 88.70% ±9.40 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz) | 14K | 89.81% ±8.45 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mykalcruz?window=all) | 14K | 89.81% ±8.45 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-10 08:23 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-09 19:20 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-08 23:33 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) [beefer](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/beefer) $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-07 17:37 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) [M27C](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/M27C) $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-05 18:26 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-05 08:46 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-04 20:20 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 147.4x 2026-11-03 23:37 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $2,841 4,059 coins 61.82x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $2,841 4,059 coins 61.82x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mykalcruz) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) [ElpassoCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ElpassoCS) $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $85.86 123 coins 1.87x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) [Bobby](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Bobby) $45.96 65.65 coins $3.64 5.2 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $45.96 65.65 coins $594 848 coins 12.92x 2026-11-11 22:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,775 (147.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.81 on average: an expected loss of $10.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt