--- title: "Mythology case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mythology ($346.68) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.42% over 645 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology rendered: 2026-11-11T17:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Mythology](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Mythology A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=all) Price · $346.68 · 495 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.42% · 645 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 134 openings · below min 7 days · 621 openings · below min 30 days · 645 openings · below min since tracking started · 645 openings · below min 68.0% 109.3% 150.5% **Small sample.** 645 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=24h) | 134 | 109.14% ±40.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=7d) | 621 | 100.61% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology) | 645 | 100.42% ±19.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mythology?window=all) | 645 | 100.42% ±19.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) [shisui](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shisui) $347 495 coins $9,096 12,995 coins 26.24x 2026-11-08 13:25 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $7,871 11,245 coins 22.70x 2026-11-09 20:45 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $7,871 11,245 coins 22.70x 2026-11-09 00:14 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-11 02:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-08 13:21 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-08 13:11 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-05 00:11 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $347 495 coins $4,251 6,073 coins 12.26x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $347 495 coins $4,251 6,073 coins 12.26x 2026-11-08 13:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mythology) [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $5,415 7,736 coins 15.62x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $1,097 1,567 coins 3.16x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) [YT/OBIESKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/YT%2FOBIESKINS) $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $347 495 coins $87.11 124 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) Hidden $347 495 coins $241 345 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,096 (26.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.42 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt