--- title: "Nuclear case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Nuclear ($6.78) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.05% over 5,956 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Nuclear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Nuclear A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=all) Price · $6.78 · 9.69 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.05% · 5,956 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 500 openings · below min 7 days · 99.51% ±9.87 5,055 openings 30 days · 96.05% ±8.79 5,956 openings since tracking started · 96.05% ±8.79 5,956 openings 78.0% 111.5% 145.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=24h) | 500 | 111.53% ±32.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=7d) | 5,055 | 99.51% ±9.87 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear) | 5,956 | 96.05% ±8.79 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/nuclear?window=all) | 5,956 | 96.05% ±8.79 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=nuclear) [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $6.78 9.69 coins $5.54 7.92 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $15.08 21.54 coins 2.22x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [7](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/7) $6.78 9.69 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.05 on average: an expected loss of $3.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt