--- title: "Obie case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Obie ($49.77) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.90% over 3,701 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie rendered: 2026-11-11T22:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Obie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Obie A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=all) Price · $49.77 · 71.1 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.90% · 3,701 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 372 openings · below min 7 days · 85.78% ±14.81 3,137 openings 30 days · 89.90% ±13.84 3,701 openings since tracking started · 89.90% ±13.84 3,701 openings 57.5% 127.5% 197.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=24h) | 372 | 127.58% ±69.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=7d) | 3,137 | 85.78% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie) | 3,701 | 89.90% ±13.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obie?window=all) | 3,701 | 89.90% ±13.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $4,809 6,869 coins 96.62x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $3,859 5,513 coins 77.54x 2026-11-11 10:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $3,859 5,513 coins 77.54x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-09 08:16 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-06 15:16 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-06 01:57 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-05 04:02 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-04 02:59 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2,852 4,074 coins 57.30x 2026-11-03 08:10 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) [hecatonquiro](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/hecatonquiro) $49.77 71.1 coins $2,294 3,277 coins 46.08x 2026-11-09 20:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=obie) [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $1.58 2.25 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) [shisui](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shisui) $49.77 71.1 coins $1.58 2.25 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) [shisui](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shisui) $49.77 71.1 coins $0.52 0.75 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $1.58 2.25 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-well-worn) Hidden $49.77 71.1 coins $2.48 3.54 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,809 (96.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt