--- title: "Obier case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Obier ($317.41) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.31% over 4,562 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Obier](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Obier A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=all) Price · $317.41 · 453 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.31% · 4,562 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 734 openings · below min 7 days · 85.94% ±11.00 3,557 openings 30 days · 89.31% ±10.18 4,562 openings since tracking started · 89.31% ±10.18 4,562 openings 50.5% 75.3% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=24h) | 734 | 72.35% ±21.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=7d) | 3,557 | 85.94% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier) | 4,562 | 89.31% ±10.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/obier?window=all) | 4,562 | 89.31% ±10.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $13.2K 18,825 coins 41.52x 2026-11-05 16:13 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $13.2K 18,825 coins 41.52x 2026-11-03 22:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-10 17:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-09 10:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-09 10:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-08 07:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-05 01:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-04 22:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.2K 17,383 coins 38.34x 2026-11-04 01:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=obier) [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $61.84 88.35 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.61 18.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $123 176 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $61.84 88.35 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) Hidden $317 453 coins $31.56 45.08 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $317 453 coins $12.61 18.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.61 18.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $61.84 88.35 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) Hidden $317 453 coins $61.84 88.35 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $317 453 coins $12.61 18.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.2K (41.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.31 on average: an expected loss of $10.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt