--- title: "On a Budget case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "On a Budget ($3.00) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.48% over 2,855 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget rendered: 2026-11-11T17:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [On a Budget](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · On a Budget A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=all) Price · $3.00 · 4.28 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.48% · 2,855 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 285 openings · below min 7 days · 89.19% ±4.25 2,631 openings 30 days · 88.48% ±4.03 2,855 openings since tracking started · 88.48% ±4.03 2,855 openings 70.0% 82.0% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=24h) | 285 | 80.75% ±9.94 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=7d) | 2,631 | 89.19% ±4.25 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget) | 2,855 | 88.48% ±4.03 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/on-a-budget?window=all) | 2,855 | 88.48% ±4.03 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=on-a-budget) [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $1.08 1.54 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $0.97 1.38 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [bing bonk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bing%20bonk) $3.00 4.28 coins $1.66 2.37 coins 0.55x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $3.21 4.58 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $3.41 4.87 coins 1.14x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $1.69 2.42 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $2.83 4.05 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 4.28 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-factory-new) [DJSHOWER](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DJSHOWER) $3.00 4.28 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.48 on average: an expected loss of $11.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt