--- title: "Only AK's case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Only AK's ($50.71) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.62% over 423 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks rendered: 2026-11-12T15:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Only AK's](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Only AK's A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=all) Price · $50.71 · 72.44 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.62% · 423 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 172 openings · below min 30 days · 423 openings · below min since tracking started · 423 openings · below min 25.5% 73.3% 121.0% **Small sample.** 423 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=24h) | 26 | 63.44% ±37.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=7d) | 172 | 74.31% ±21.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks) | 423 | 98.62% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-aks?window=all) | 423 | 98.62% ±21.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $1,689 2,412 coins 33.30x 2026-11-05 01:19 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [BensonMiller](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BensonMiller) $50.71 72.44 coins $827 1,181 coins 16.31x 2026-11-07 14:37 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $827 1,181 coins 16.31x 2026-11-04 13:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=only-aks) [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $96.59 138 coins 1.90x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $96.59 138 coins 1.90x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $25.70 36.72 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $38.78 55.4 coins 0.76x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $25.70 36.72 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.71 72.44 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,689 (33.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.62 on average: an expected loss of $1.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt