--- title: "Only Gems case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Only Gems ($984.66) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.75% over 198 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Only Gems](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Only Gems A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=all) Price · $984.66 · 1,407 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.75% · 198 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 100 openings · below min 30 days · 198 openings · below min since tracking started · 198 openings · below min 42.0% 78.0% 114.0% **Small sample.** 198 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=7d) | 100 | 78.05% ±35.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems) | 198 | 74.75% ±23.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/only-gems?window=all) | 198 | 74.75% ±23.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Lobanjica](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lobanjica) $985 1,407 coins $10.7K 15,280 coins 10.86x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $10.6K 15,084 coins 10.72x 2026-11-08 18:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $8,392 11,989 coins 8.52x 2026-11-03 23:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $7,988 11,411 coins 8.11x 2026-11-08 22:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $7,988 11,411 coins 8.11x 2026-11-04 01:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $7,473 10,676 coins 7.59x 2026-11-03 22:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $3,881 5,544 coins 3.94x 2026-11-03 23:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $3,531 5,044 coins 3.59x 2026-11-03 23:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $3,531 5,044 coins 3.59x 2026-11-03 23:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $3,531 5,044 coins 3.59x 2026-11-03 22:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=only-gems) [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $2,549 3,641 coins 2.59x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $137 196 coins 0.14x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $985 1,407 coins $741 1,058 coins 0.75x 2026-11-09 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $10.7K (10.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.75 on average: an expected loss of $25.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt