--- title: "Paladin case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Paladin ($23.00) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.14% over 923 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin rendered: 2026-11-11T23:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Paladin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Paladin A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=all) Price · $23.00 · 32.85 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.14% · 923 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 645 openings · below min 30 days · 923 openings · below min since tracking started · 923 openings · below min 38.5% 90.0% 141.5% **Small sample.** 923 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=24h) | 8 | 89.90% ±50.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=7d) | 645 | 84.47% ±12.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin) | 923 | 85.14% ±10.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/paladin?window=all) | 923 | 85.14% ±10.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=paladin) [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $39.62 56.6 coins 1.72x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-battle-scarred) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $0.43 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-battle-scarred) [SB...hitman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SB...hitman) $23.00 32.85 coins $0.43 0.62 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $23.00 32.85 coins $49.11 70.15 coins 2.14x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 19:46 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 32.85 coins $18.95 27.07 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 19:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.14 on average: an expected loss of $14.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt