--- title: "Permadeath case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Permadeath ($15.92) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.24% over 12.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Permadeath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Permadeath A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=all) Price · $15.92 · 22.74 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.24% · 12.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.93% ±14.90 1,748 openings 7 days · 86.15% ±6.10 10.4K openings 30 days · 88.24% ±5.81 12.1K openings since tracking started · 88.24% ±5.81 12.1K openings 69.5% 85.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=24h) | 1,748 | 84.93% ±14.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=7d) | 10.4K | 86.15% ±6.10 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath) | 12.1K | 88.24% ±5.81 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/permadeath?window=all) | 12.1K | 88.24% ±5.81 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-10 14:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-10 11:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-09 20:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-07 21:54 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) [que pasa](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/que%20pasa) $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-07 21:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-05 07:21 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-04 14:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-03 10:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $562 802 coins 35.29x 2026-11-03 10:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=permadeath) [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 22.74 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $562 (35.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.24 on average: an expected loss of $11.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt