--- title: "Phoenix case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Phoenix ($65.84) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.19% over 15.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Phoenix A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=all) Price · $65.84 · 94.05 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.19% · 15.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.29% ±21.03 1,595 openings 7 days · 84.37% ±7.59 11.8K openings 30 days · 86.19% ±6.75 15.3K openings since tracking started · 86.19% ±6.75 15.3K openings 66.5% 88.3% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=24h) | 1,595 | 88.29% ±21.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=7d) | 11.8K | 84.37% ±7.59 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix) | 15.3K | 86.19% ±6.75 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/phoenix?window=all) | 15.3K | 86.19% ±6.75 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-10 17:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-10 17:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-09 21:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-09 12:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-08 15:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-07 17:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-07 14:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-06 23:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-06 12:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2,971 4,245 coins 45.13x 2026-11-06 01:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=phoenix) [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Phoenix Pin pin · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/phoenix-pin) [EkiHolic](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/EkiHolic) $65.84 94.05 coins $4.27 6.1 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Phoenix (Foil) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-foil) Hidden $65.84 94.05 coins $2.73 3.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,971 (45.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.19 on average: an expected loss of $13.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt