--- title: "Pickled case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pickled ($1,138.42) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.53% over 807 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Pickled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Pickled A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=all) Price · $1,138.42 · 1,626 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.53% · 807 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 92 openings · below min 7 days · 637 openings · below min 30 days · 807 openings · below min since tracking started · 807 openings · below min 45.0% 91.5% 138.0% **Small sample.** 807 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=24h) | 92 | 91.66% ±45.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=7d) | 637 | 92.92% ±22.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled) | 807 | 100.53% ±21.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/pickled?window=all) | 807 | 100.53% ±21.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-09 22:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-09 22:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-06 17:17 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-04 01:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $34.5K 49,235 coins 30.27x 2026-11-03 16:47 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $14K 20,035 coins 12.32x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $14K 20,035 coins 12.32x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $14K 20,035 coins 12.32x 2026-11-09 22:24 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $14K 20,035 coins 12.32x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=pickled) [Sticker | Agent Kucumber sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-kucumber) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Agent Kucumber sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-kucumber) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $941 1,344 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Agent Kucumber sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-kucumber) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $1,138 1,626 coins $4,968 7,097 coins 4.36x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $282 402 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 20:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,138 1,626 coins $567 810 coins 0.50x 2026-11-10 20:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $34.5K (30.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.53 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt