--- title: "Placeholder case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Placeholder ($37.64) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.52% over 2,144 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Placeholder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Placeholder A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=all) Price · $37.64 · 53.77 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.52% · 2,144 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 150 openings · below min 7 days · 82.42% ±19.08 1,572 openings 30 days · 79.52% ±15.62 2,144 openings since tracking started · 79.52% ±15.62 2,144 openings 18.0% 72.0% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=24h) | 150 | 72.06% ±53.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=7d) | 1,572 | 82.42% ±19.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder) | 2,144 | 79.52% ±15.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/placeholder?window=all) | 2,144 | 79.52% ±15.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-damascus-steel-well-worn) [M3TADON](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/M3TADON) $37.64 53.77 coins $1,950 2,786 coins 51.82x 2026-11-07 17:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,923 2,746 coins 51.08x 2026-11-04 22:50 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,532 2,189 coins 40.71x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,532 2,189 coins 40.71x 2026-11-10 14:15 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,532 2,189 coins 40.71x 2026-11-09 15:17 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) [The Professional](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/The%20Professional) $37.64 53.77 coins $1,532 2,189 coins 40.71x 2026-11-06 03:28 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,323 1,891 coins 35.16x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,323 1,891 coins 35.16x 2026-11-09 21:40 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) [M3TADON](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/M3TADON) $37.64 53.77 coins $1,323 1,891 coins 35.16x 2026-11-07 16:46 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1,323 1,891 coins 35.16x 2026-11-04 03:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=placeholder) [StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-minimal-wear) [keytowin](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/keytowin) $37.64 53.77 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $4.25 6.07 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $37.64 53.77 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,950 (51.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.52 on average: an expected loss of $20.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt