--- title: "Plutonium case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Plutonium ($949.14) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.60% over 368 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Plutonium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Plutonium A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=all) Price · $949.14 · 1,356 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.60% · 368 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 278 openings · below min 30 days · 368 openings · below min since tracking started · 368 openings · below min 8.5% 76.0% 143.5% **Small sample.** 368 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=24h) | 10 | 45.86% ±36.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=7d) | 278 | 108.57% ±34.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium) | 368 | 100.60% ±27.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/plutonium?window=all) | 368 | 100.60% ±27.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $19.7K 28,100 coins 20.72x 2026-11-09 22:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 14.45x 2026-11-09 22:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 14.45x 2026-11-09 22:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 14.45x 2026-11-09 22:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 14.45x 2026-11-09 22:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 14.45x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.4K 19,198 coins 14.16x 2026-11-10 11:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $13.4K 19,198 coins 14.16x 2026-11-09 22:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $12.1K 17,239 coins 12.71x 2026-11-09 22:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $12.1K 17,239 coins 12.71x 2026-11-09 22:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=plutonium) [Negev | Mjölnir (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-field-tested) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $1,988 2,840 coins 2.09x 2026-11-10 20:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) [diganiga](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/diganiga) $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $949 1,356 coins $211 301 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC [★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) [diganiga](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/diganiga) $949 1,356 coins $677 968 coins 0.71x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $19.7K (20.72x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.60 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt