--- title: "Popcorn case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Popcorn ($69.62) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.37% over 12.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn rendered: 2026-11-12T01:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Popcorn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Popcorn A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=all) Price · $69.62 · 99.46 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.37% · 12.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.47% ±26.46 1,184 openings 7 days · 98.11% ±9.92 9,632 openings 30 days · 97.37% ±8.85 12.1K openings since tracking started · 97.37% ±8.85 12.1K openings 60.5% 87.5% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=24h) | 1,184 | 87.47% ±26.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=7d) | 9,632 | 98.11% ±9.92 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn) | 12.1K | 97.37% ±8.85 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/popcorn?window=all) | 12.1K | 97.37% ±8.85 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-12 00:30 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-11 08:07 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-10 20:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-10 20:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [The Professional](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/The%20Professional) $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 33.72x 2026-11-09 17:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=popcorn) [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.62 99.46 coins $4.75 6.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,348 (33.72x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.37 on average: an expected loss of $2.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt