--- title: "Prismatic case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prismatic ($8.12) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.90% over 1,189 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic rendered: 2026-11-11T19:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Prismatic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Prismatic A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=all) Price · $8.12 · 11.6 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.90% · 1,189 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 166 openings · below min 7 days · 886 openings · below min 30 days · 83.90% ±10.53 1,189 openings since tracking started · 83.90% ±10.53 1,189 openings 41.5% 70.0% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=24h) | 166 | 69.27% ±27.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=7d) | 886 | 85.31% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic) | 1,189 | 83.90% ±10.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prismatic?window=all) | 1,189 | 83.90% ±10.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=prismatic) [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $1.55 2.21 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $2.50 3.57 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-field-tested) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $3.53 5.04 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) [Sixtine](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Sixtine) $8.12 11.6 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-field-tested) Hidden $8.12 11.6 coins $3.53 5.04 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.90 on average: an expected loss of $16.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt