--- title: "Psycho case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Psycho ($179.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.36% over 2,607 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho rendered: 2026-11-12T03:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Psycho](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Psycho A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=all) Price · $179.08 · 256 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.36% · 2,607 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 102 openings · below min 7 days · 83.49% ±18.16 1,753 openings 30 days · 90.36% ±15.77 2,607 openings since tracking started · 90.36% ±15.77 2,607 openings -0.5% 62.3% 125.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=24h) | 102 | 60.91% ±63.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=7d) | 1,753 | 83.49% ±18.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho) | 2,607 | 90.36% ±15.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/psycho?window=all) | 2,607 | 90.36% ±15.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $10K 14,354 coins 56.11x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $10K 14,354 coins 56.11x 2026-11-05 09:30 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $10K 14,354 coins 56.11x 2026-11-04 01:17 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $7,830 11,186 coins 43.72x 2026-11-10 22:40 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $7,830 11,186 coins 43.72x 2026-11-09 19:26 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $7,830 11,186 coins 43.72x 2026-11-04 01:17 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $7,830 11,186 coins 43.72x 2026-11-04 00:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $179 256 coins $5,835 8,335 coins 32.58x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/joonXO) $179 256 coins $5,835 8,335 coins 32.58x 2026-11-08 00:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $179 256 coins $5,835 8,335 coins 32.58x 2026-11-07 23:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=psycho) [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $317 453 coins 1.77x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [ich hab kleine d](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ich%20hab%20kleine%20d) $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $179 256 coins $2.95 4.21 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 00:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $10K (56.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.36 on average: an expected loss of $9.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt