--- title: "Quantum case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Quantum ($1,629.59) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.21% over 87 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum rendered: 2026-11-12T01:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Quantum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Quantum A case on Rain.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=all) Price · $1,629.59 · 2,328 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.21% · 87 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 87 openings · below min 30 days · 87 openings · below min since tracking started · 87 openings · below min 10.5% 128.3% 246.0% **Small sample.** 87 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=24h) | 6 | 128.46% ±117.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=7d) | 87 | 98.21% ±31.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum) | 87 | 98.21% ±31.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/quantum?window=all) | 87 | 98.21% ±31.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $13.7K 19,590 coins 8.42x 2026-11-06 11:14 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $11.4K 16,238 coins 6.98x 2026-11-07 19:42 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $11.4K 16,238 coins 6.98x 2026-11-06 11:14 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $1,630 2,328 coins $6,786 9,695 coins 4.16x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $6,786 9,695 coins 4.16x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $1,630 2,328 coins $6,786 9,695 coins 4.16x 2026-11-06 11:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $1,630 2,328 coins $2,947 4,210 coins 1.81x 2026-11-07 19:42 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $2,947 4,210 coins 1.81x 2026-11-07 19:39 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $2,947 4,210 coins 1.81x 2026-11-07 02:12 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $2,947 4,210 coins 1.81x 2026-11-06 11:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=quantum) [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $1,611 2,302 coins 0.99x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $1,611 2,302 coins 0.99x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $1,611 2,302 coins 0.99x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $939 1,342 coins 0.58x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $1,630 2,328 coins $6,786 9,695 coins 4.16x 2026-11-12 01:09 UTC [XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $1.08 1.54 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $1,124 1,606 coins 0.69x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $1,630 2,328 coins $945 1,349 coins 0.58x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,630 2,328 coins $11.4K 16,238 coins 6.98x 2026-11-07 19:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.7K (8.42x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.21 on average: an expected loss of $1.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt