--- title: "Rabbit Hole case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rabbit Hole ($3.94) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.44% over 2,300 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Rabbit Hole](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Rabbit Hole A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=all) Price · $3.94 · 5.63 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.44% · 2,300 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 178 openings · below min 7 days · 85.72% ±9.77 1,859 openings 30 days · 86.44% ±8.77 2,300 openings since tracking started · 86.44% ±8.77 2,300 openings 47.0% 75.0% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=24h) | 178 | 75.03% ±27.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=7d) | 1,859 | 85.72% ±9.77 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole) | 2,300 | 86.44% ±8.77 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rabbit-hole?window=all) | 2,300 | 86.44% ±8.77 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=rabbit-hole) [MP9 | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $0.45 0.65 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $5.45 7.78 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) [Holo-.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Holo-.-) $3.94 5.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $16.43 23.47 coins 4.17x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $11.98 17.12 coins 3.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) [mejicanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/mejicanos) $3.94 5.63 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) Hidden $3.94 5.63 coins $11.98 17.12 coins 3.04x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.44 on average: an expected loss of $13.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt