--- title: "Raft case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Raft ($4.13) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.13% over 43.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Raft](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Raft A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=all) Price · $4.13 · 5.9 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.13% · 43.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.50% ±20.25 4,246 openings 7 days · 92.05% ±7.17 38.4K openings 30 days · 91.13% ±6.67 43.3K openings since tracking started · 91.13% ±6.67 43.3K openings 69.5% 90.5% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=24h) | 4,246 | 90.50% ±20.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=7d) | 38.4K | 92.05% ±7.17 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft) | 43.3K | 91.13% ±6.67 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raft?window=all) | 43.3K | 91.13% ±6.67 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-10 21:29 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-10 06:17 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-10 00:46 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-09 22:47 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-09 22:25 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-09 21:48 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $528 754 coins 127.8x 2026-11-09 21:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=raft) [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) [pf](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/pf) $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) [pf](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/pf) $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) Hidden $4.13 5.9 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $528 (127.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.13 on average: an expected loss of $8.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt