--- title: "Raider case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Raider ($2.97) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.17% over 14.6K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider rendered: 2026-11-11T21:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Raider](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Raider A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=all) Price · $2.97 · 4.25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.17% · 14.6K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 907 openings · below min 7 days · 83.89% ±6.73 11.9K openings 30 days · 84.17% ±6.00 14.6K openings since tracking started · 84.17% ±6.00 14.6K openings 57.5% 74.5% 91.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=24h) | 907 | 74.40% ±16.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=7d) | 11.9K | 83.89% ±6.73 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider) | 14.6K | 84.17% ±6.00 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/raider?window=all) | 14.6K | 84.17% ±6.00 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $811 1,159 coins 272.7x 2026-11-07 15:42 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $289 413 coins 97.26x 2026-11-04 15:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=raider) [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.88 1.25 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) [Lennox77](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lennox77) $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $5.37 7.67 coins 1.80x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $0.88 1.25 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.25 coins $3.15 4.5 coins 1.06x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $811 (272.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.17 on average: an expected loss of $15.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt