--- title: "Rebel case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rebel ($15.60) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.76% over 1,175 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel rendered: 2026-11-12T05:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Rebel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Rebel A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=all) Price · $15.60 · 22.29 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.76% · 1,175 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 714 openings · below min 30 days · 100.76% ±8.20 1,175 openings since tracking started · 100.76% ±8.20 1,175 openings 64.5% 106.3% 148.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=24h) | 35 | 106.27% ±41.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=7d) | 714 | 101.22% ±10.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel) | 1,175 | 100.76% ±8.20 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rebel?window=all) | 1,175 | 100.76% ±8.20 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=rebel) [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $1.37 1.95 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $1.37 1.95 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $1.37 1.95 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $75.82 108 coins 4.86x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $1.37 1.95 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) [mvip](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/mvip) $15.60 22.29 coins $6.43 9.18 coins 0.41x 2026-11-12 01:34 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $11.37 16.24 coins 0.73x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $6.43 9.18 coins 0.41x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $29.03 41.47 coins 1.86x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) Hidden $15.60 22.29 coins $11.37 16.24 coins 0.73x 2026-11-12 01:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt