--- title: "Recon case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Recon ($3.30) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.45% over 5,762 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon rendered: 2026-11-12T01:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Recon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Recon A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=all) Price · $3.30 · 4.71 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.45% · 5,762 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 391 openings · below min 7 days · 84.58% ±6.88 4,221 openings 30 days · 87.45% ±6.63 5,762 openings since tracking started · 87.45% ±6.63 5,762 openings 67.5% 89.5% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=24h) | 391 | 89.62% ±21.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=7d) | 4,221 | 84.58% ±6.88 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon) | 5,762 | 87.45% ±6.63 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/recon?window=all) | 5,762 | 87.45% ±6.63 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $216 308 coins 65.37x 2026-11-04 12:21 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $216 308 coins 65.37x 2026-11-04 05:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=recon) [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $29.20 41.71 coins 8.86x 2026-11-12 01:07 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:07 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) [JAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/JAZ) $3.30 4.71 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:07 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-prey-factory-new) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [amex-a18fa3](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/amex-a18fa3) $3.30 4.71 coins $0.56 0.8 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 23:17 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.30 4.71 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $216 (65.37x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.45 on average: an expected loss of $12.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt