--- title: "Red Carpet case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Red Carpet ($561.18) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.19% over 483 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Red Carpet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Red Carpet A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=all) Price · $561.18 · 802 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.19% · 483 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 447 openings · below min 30 days · 483 openings · below min since tracking started · 483 openings · below min 71.5% 93.2% 115.0% **Small sample.** 483 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=7d) | 447 | 93.24% ±20.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet) | 483 | 92.19% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/red-carpet?window=all) | 483 | 92.19% ±19.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) [YT/OBIESKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/YT%2FOBIESKINS) $561 802 coins $12.2K 17,497 coins 21.82x 2026-11-08 16:37 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $561 802 coins $12.2K 17,497 coins 21.82x 2026-11-05 06:47 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $561 802 coins $6,184 8,835 coins 11.02x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $561 802 coins $6,184 8,835 coins 11.02x 2026-11-08 17:04 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $561 802 coins $6,184 8,835 coins 11.02x 2026-11-07 07:06 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [Perrcos](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Perrcos) $561 802 coins $6,184 8,835 coins 11.02x 2026-11-06 13:59 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $561 802 coins $6,184 8,835 coins 11.02x 2026-11-05 06:47 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $561 802 coins $3,472 4,960 coins 6.19x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $561 802 coins $3,472 4,960 coins 6.19x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $561 802 coins $3,472 4,960 coins 6.19x 2026-11-09 08:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=red-carpet) [Sticker | rain | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-paris-2023) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $561 802 coins $895 1,279 coins 1.60x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [Sticker | rain | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-paris-2023) [prod-39ab5f](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/prod-39ab5f) $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC [Sticker | rain | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-paris-2023) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:19 UTC [Sticker | rain | Paris 2023 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-paris-2023) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:19 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $561 802 coins $1,653 2,362 coins 2.95x 2026-11-09 17:19 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $561 802 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $12.2K (21.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.19 on average: an expected loss of $7.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt