--- title: "Ritual case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ritual ($23.16) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.49% over 10.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual rendered: 2026-11-11T14:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Ritual](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Ritual A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=all) Price · $23.16 · 33.09 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.49% · 10.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 677 openings · below min 7 days · 88.92% ±7.48 7,868 openings 30 days · 90.49% ±6.62 10.3K openings since tracking started · 90.49% ±6.62 10.3K openings 68.5% 98.5% 128.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=24h) | 677 | 98.51% ±29.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=7d) | 7,868 | 88.92% ±7.48 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual) | 10.3K | 90.49% ±6.62 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ritual?window=all) | 10.3K | 90.49% ±6.62 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $1,092 1,560 coins 47.16x 2026-11-10 13:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $1,092 1,560 coins 47.16x 2026-11-09 17:06 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) [CrispyX](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/CrispyX) $23.16 33.09 coins $1,092 1,560 coins 47.16x 2026-11-07 09:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-10 20:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-10 17:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-07 08:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-04 16:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $883 1,262 coins 38.13x 2026-11-03 14:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=ritual) [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $23.16 33.09 coins $96.56 138 coins 4.17x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $99.13 142 coins 4.28x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) Hidden $23.16 33.09 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,092 (47.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.49 on average: an expected loss of $9.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt