--- title: "Roasted case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Roasted ($9.36) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.47% over 2,459 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted rendered: 2026-11-11T21:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Roasted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Roasted A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=all) Price · $9.36 · 13.37 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.47% · 2,459 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 133 openings · below min 7 days · 99.85% ±14.62 1,958 openings 30 days · 96.47% ±12.80 2,459 openings since tracking started · 96.47% ±12.80 2,459 openings 22.5% 68.8% 115.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=24h) | 133 | 63.94% ±40.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=7d) | 1,958 | 99.85% ±14.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted) | 2,459 | 96.47% ±12.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/roasted?window=all) | 2,459 | 96.47% ±12.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=roasted) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $1.20 1.71 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $1.20 1.71 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sandstorm-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $1.76 2.51 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) [Code Cleann](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Code%20Cleann) $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sandstorm-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $1.76 2.51 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $9.36 13.37 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.47 on average: an expected loss of $3.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt