--- title: "Rogue case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rogue ($3.53) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.81% over 158K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Rogue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Rogue A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=all) Price · $3.53 · 5.05 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.81% · 158K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.59% ±39.97 20.1K openings 7 days · 86.89% ±15.61 131K openings 30 days · 83.81% ±13.89 158K openings since tracking started · 83.81% ±13.89 158K openings 44.0% 84.5% 125.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=24h) | 20.1K | 84.59% ±40.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=7d) | 131K | 86.89% ±15.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) | 158K | 83.81% ±13.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue?window=all) | 158K | 83.81% ±13.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-10 12:13 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-09 09:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-07 22:05 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-07 21:30 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-07 17:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-06 18:53 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [mamal](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/mamal) $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-04 21:37 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,744 6,777 coins 1,342x 2026-11-04 08:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $4,341 6,201 coins 1,228x 2026-11-09 21:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=rogue) [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) [cи〆cʀazy气](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/c%D0%B8%E3%80%86c%CA%80azy%E6%B0%94) $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sticker | Rogue | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rogue-london-2018) Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,744 (1,342x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.81 on average: an expected loss of $16.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt