--- title: "Rubble case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rubble ($7.13) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.88% over 5,219 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Rubble](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Rubble A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=all) Price · $7.13 · 10.19 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.88% · 5,219 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 480 openings · below min 7 days · 89.05% ±9.48 4,254 openings 30 days · 85.88% ±8.09 5,219 openings since tracking started · 85.88% ±8.09 5,219 openings 59.5% 79.5% 99.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=24h) | 480 | 79.37% ±19.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=7d) | 4,254 | 89.05% ±9.48 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble) | 5,219 | 85.88% ±8.09 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rubble?window=all) | 5,219 | 85.88% ±8.09 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $553 790 coins 77.53x 2026-11-05 05:48 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $500 715 coins 70.13x 2026-11-10 06:09 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $500 715 coins 70.13x 2026-11-07 17:44 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) [Peoples](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Peoples) $7.13 10.19 coins $431 615 coins 60.39x 2026-11-09 13:22 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $431 615 coins 60.39x 2026-11-08 11:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=rubble) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [P2000 | Dispatch (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-dispatch-well-worn) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $24.53 35.04 coins 3.44x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins $72.60 104 coins 10.18x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) [👑BL4CKE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%F0%9F%91%91BL4CKE) $7.13 10.19 coins $7.00 10 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.13 10.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $7.13 10.19 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $553 (77.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.88 on average: an expected loss of $14.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt