--- title: "Sale case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sale ($2.79) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.28% over 5,763 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sale](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sale A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=all) Price · $2.79 · 3.99 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.28% · 5,763 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 354 openings · below min 7 days · 86.71% ±6.28 4,602 openings 30 days · 87.28% ±5.51 5,763 openings since tracking started · 87.28% ±5.51 5,763 openings 60.0% 76.8% 93.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=24h) | 354 | 70.77% ±9.91 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=7d) | 4,602 | 86.71% ±6.28 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale) | 5,763 | 87.28% ±5.51 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sale?window=all) | 5,763 | 87.28% ±5.51 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $236 338 coins 84.59x 2026-11-07 00:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sale) [P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $2.13 3.04 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $2.13 3.04 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-field-tested) [Mr.Moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Moon) $2.79 3.99 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $0.61 0.87 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) [Mr.Moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Moon) $2.79 3.99 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.79 3.99 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $236 (84.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.28 on average: an expected loss of $12.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt