--- title: "Sand Castle case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sand Castle ($10.50) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.41% over 1,713 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sand Castle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sand Castle A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=all) Price · $10.50 · 15 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.41% · 1,713 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 117 openings · below min 7 days · 102.38% ±17.22 1,299 openings 30 days · 104.41% ±15.28 1,713 openings since tracking started · 104.41% ±15.28 1,713 openings 35.0% 110.5% 186.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=24h) | 117 | 110.59% ±74.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=7d) | 1,299 | 102.38% ±17.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle) | 1,713 | 104.41% ±15.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sand-castle?window=all) | 1,713 | 104.41% ±15.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sand-castle) [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $2.42 3.45 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [Negev | Boroque Sand (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-boroque-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $4.14 5.92 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-sand-scale-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $1.08 1.54 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-factory-new) [Sixtine](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Sixtine) $10.50 15 coins $0.83 1.18 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $0.83 1.18 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC [Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-quick-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $29.15 41.64 coins 2.78x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC [Negev | Boroque Sand (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-boroque-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $4.14 5.92 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $10.50 15 coins $2.42 3.45 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.41 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt