--- title: "Scrambled case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scrambled ($68.19) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.51% over 910 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Scrambled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Scrambled A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=all) Price · $68.19 · 97.41 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.51% · 910 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 45 openings · below min 7 days · 612 openings · below min 30 days · 910 openings · below min since tracking started · 910 openings · below min 52.5% 96.5% 140.5% **Small sample.** 910 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=24h) | 45 | 96.41% ±43.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=7d) | 612 | 79.41% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled) | 910 | 85.51% ±11.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/scrambled?window=all) | 910 | 85.51% ±11.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-well-worn) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $1,036 1,481 coins 15.20x 2026-11-10 18:16 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $795 1,135 coins 11.65x 2026-11-09 10:08 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $795 1,135 coins 11.65x 2026-11-03 12:47 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) [ɹǝʇunɥ ʎssnԀ (^\_^)](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%C9%B9%C7%9D%CA%87un%C9%A5%20%CA%8Essn%D4%80%20%28%5E_%5E%29) $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-10 05:49 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-06 19:10 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) [ROBO VERS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ROBO%20VERS) $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-05 02:34 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-04 19:53 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $574 819 coins 8.41x 2026-11-03 16:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $510 728 coins 7.47x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=scrambled) [★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $286 408 coins 4.19x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $385 550 coins 5.64x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-goofy-tracer-yellow) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $7.57 10.82 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-hazard-pay-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $75.87 108 coins 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Headed) $68.19 97.41 coins $1.50 2.14 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $30.20 43.14 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 00:41 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $30.20 43.14 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 00:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-goofy-tracer-yellow) [Smabu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Smabu) $68.19 97.41 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:41 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $68.19 97.41 coins $113 162 coins 1.66x 2026-11-11 00:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,036 (15.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.51 on average: an expected loss of $14.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt