--- title: "Serpent case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Serpent ($21.97) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.11% over 47K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Serpent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Serpent A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=all) Price · $21.97 · 31.39 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.11% · 47K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.07% ±19.13 5,730 openings 7 days · 95.48% ±7.87 34.5K openings 30 days · 94.11% ±6.92 47K openings since tracking started · 94.11% ±6.92 47K openings 74.5% 94.2% 114.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=24h) | 5,730 | 94.07% ±19.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=7d) | 34.5K | 95.48% ±7.87 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent) | 47K | 94.11% ±6.92 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/serpent?window=all) | 47K | 94.11% ±6.92 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $6,007 8,582 coins 273.4x 2026-11-06 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $6,007 8,582 coins 273.4x 2026-11-03 23:48 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $6,007 8,582 coins 273.4x 2026-11-03 10:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $6,007 8,582 coins 273.4x 2026-11-03 04:45 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Fixedinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fixedinho) $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-10 23:52 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-10 01:36 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-09 00:46 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-08 20:29 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-07 21:58 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $5,039 7,198 coins 229.3x 2026-11-06 02:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=serpent) [AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/freberekk) $21.97 31.39 coins $0.69 0.98 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins $29.41 42.01 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-factory-new) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/freberekk) $21.97 31.39 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [AUG | Snake Pit (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-well-worn) Hidden $21.97 31.39 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,007 (273.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.11 on average: an expected loss of $5.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt