--- title: "Shiny Ornament case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shiny Ornament ($0.37) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.46% over 121K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament rendered: 2026-11-11T18:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Shiny Ornament](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Shiny Ornament A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=all) Price · $0.37 · 0.53 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.46% · 121K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 119.12% ±93.57 18.2K openings 7 days · 111.98% ±33.79 94.3K openings 30 days · 104.46% ±28.86 121K openings since tracking started · 104.46% ±28.86 121K openings 25.0% 119.2% 213.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=24h) | 18.2K | 119.12% ±93.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=7d) | 94.3K | 111.98% ±33.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament) | 121K | 104.46% ±28.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shiny-ornament?window=all) | 121K | 104.46% ±28.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,839 2,627 coins 4,956x 2026-11-11 04:07 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,839 2,627 coins 4,956x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,839 2,627 coins 4,956x 2026-11-07 13:21 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,839 2,627 coins 4,956x 2026-11-07 00:02 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,839 2,627 coins 4,956x 2026-11-03 21:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,201 1,715 coins 3,236x 2026-11-10 20:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,201 1,715 coins 3,236x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,201 1,715 coins 3,236x 2026-11-08 19:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,201 1,715 coins 3,236x 2026-11-07 16:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $1,201 1,715 coins 3,236x 2026-11-07 12:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=shiny-ornament) [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) [TheAFKHero](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/TheAFKHero) $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-blood-red) Hidden $0.37 0.53 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,839 (4,956x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.46 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt