--- title: "Shwifty case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shwifty ($72.34) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.45% over 809 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty rendered: 2026-11-12T06:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Shwifty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Shwifty A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=all) Price · $72.34 · 103 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.45% · 809 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 668 openings · below min 30 days · 809 openings · below min since tracking started · 809 openings · below min 43.5% 79.5% 115.5% **Small sample.** 809 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=24h) | 74 | 79.51% ±35.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=7d) | 668 | 91.98% ±13.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty) | 809 | 92.45% ±11.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/shwifty?window=all) | 809 | 92.45% ±11.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) [Mr.Köster](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.K%C3%B6ster) $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-06 23:58 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-05 17:29 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-05 17:28 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $534 763 coins 7.39x 2026-11-05 17:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=shwifty) [M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $118 168 coins 1.63x 2026-11-12 04:57 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 04:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $112 161 coins 1.55x 2026-11-12 04:57 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $72.34 103 coins $3.50 5 coins 0.05x 2026-11-12 04:57 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $118 168 coins 1.63x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $3.50 5 coins 0.05x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $1.33 1.9 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.34 103 coins $3.50 5 coins 0.05x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $72.34 103 coins $1.33 1.9 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $534 (7.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.45 on average: an expected loss of $7.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt