--- title: "Silent Night case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silent Night ($7.32) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.47% over 2,355 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Silent Night](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Silent Night A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=all) Price · $7.32 · 10.46 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.47% · 2,355 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 192 openings · below min 7 days · 89.81% ±8.79 1,777 openings 30 days · 95.47% ±8.47 2,355 openings since tracking started · 95.47% ±8.47 2,355 openings 57.5% 83.5% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=24h) | 192 | 83.47% ±25.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=7d) | 1,777 | 89.81% ±8.79 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night) | 2,355 | 95.47% ±8.47 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/silent-night?window=all) | 2,355 | 95.47% ±8.47 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=silent-night) [USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-well-worn) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $5.22 7.45 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) [Big yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Big%20yahu) $7.32 10.46 coins $3.62 5.17 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $3.62 5.17 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $3.62 5.17 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) [-mad4rinh0-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/-mad4rinh0-) $7.32 10.46 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-well-worn) Hidden $7.32 10.46 coins $5.22 7.45 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.47 on average: an expected loss of $4.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt