--- title: "Sleepy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sleepy ($12.94) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.17% over 15.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sleepy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sleepy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=all) Price · $12.94 · 18.48 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.17% · 15.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 124.62% ±39.64 1,844 openings 7 days · 97.48% ±10.67 12.5K openings 30 days · 95.17% ±9.37 15.4K openings since tracking started · 95.17% ±9.37 15.4K openings 84.5% 124.8% 165.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=24h) | 1,844 | 124.62% ±39.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=7d) | 12.5K | 97.48% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) | 15.4K | 95.17% ±9.37 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy?window=all) | 15.4K | 95.17% ±9.37 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $2,439 3,484 coins 188.5x 2026-11-10 18:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $2,439 3,484 coins 188.5x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $2,439 3,484 coins 188.5x 2026-11-03 21:17 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,858 2,654 coins 143.6x 2026-11-08 23:46 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,858 2,654 coins 143.6x 2026-11-08 23:42 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,858 2,654 coins 143.6x 2026-11-05 15:34 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) [Lennox77](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lennox77) $12.94 18.48 coins $1,486 2,123 coins 114.9x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,486 2,123 coins 114.9x 2026-11-11 11:10 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,486 2,123 coins 114.9x 2026-11-10 12:02 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1,486 2,123 coins 114.9x 2026-11-08 13:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sleepy) [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $68.14 97.34 coins 5.27x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Headed) $12.94 18.48 coins $1.38 1.97 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $1.38 1.97 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,439 (188.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.17 on average: an expected loss of $4.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt