--- title: "Sleighed case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sleighed ($777.78) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.30% over 162 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed rendered: 2026-11-12T06:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sleighed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sleighed A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=all) Price · $777.78 · 1,111 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.30% · 162 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 162 openings · below min since tracking started · 162 openings · below min 68.0% 95.3% 122.5% **Small sample.** 162 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=7d) | 66 | 88.83% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed) | 162 | 95.30% ±26.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleighed?window=all) | 162 | 95.30% ±26.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $12.2K 17,432 coins 15.69x 2026-11-04 01:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $12.2K 17,432 coins 15.69x 2026-11-03 23:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-09 03:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-08 18:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-06 17:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-03 23:01 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $778 1,111 coins $1,222 1,746 coins 1.57x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,222 1,746 coins 1.57x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sleighed) [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $354 505 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $354 505 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $604 863 coins 0.78x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $354 505 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $699 998 coins 0.90x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,129 1,613 coins 1.45x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $1,696 2,423 coins 2.18x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $778 1,111 coins $354 505 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $604 863 coins 0.78x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $778 1,111 coins $354 505 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $12.2K (15.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.30 on average: an expected loss of $4.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt