--- title: "Smack case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Smack ($65.32) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.57% over 1,516 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack rendered: 2026-11-11T22:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Smack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Smack A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=all) Price · $65.32 · 93.32 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.57% · 1,516 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 128 openings · below min 7 days · 79.96% ±14.34 1,091 openings 30 days · 79.57% ±12.34 1,516 openings since tracking started · 79.57% ±12.34 1,516 openings 39.5% 71.8% 104.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=24h) | 128 | 71.67% ±31.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=7d) | 1,091 | 79.96% ±14.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack) | 1,516 | 79.57% ±12.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/smack?window=all) | 1,516 | 79.57% ±12.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,784 2,548 coins 27.31x 2026-11-06 01:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,784 2,548 coins 27.31x 2026-11-05 03:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,784 2,548 coins 27.31x 2026-11-04 00:19 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-09 15:31 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) [robmayne](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/robmayne) $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-06 15:53 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-05 20:10 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-05 14:45 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-04 00:22 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1,493 2,132 coins 22.85x 2026-11-03 19:43 UTC [★ Karambit | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $667 954 coins 10.22x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=smack) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $19.17 27.38 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $8.76 12.51 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) [LIVE: kick.com/lepajee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LIVE%3A%20kick.com%2Flepajee) $65.32 93.32 coins $19.17 27.38 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $19.17 27.38 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 93.32 coins $4.51 6.44 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,784 (27.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.57 on average: an expected loss of $20.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt