--- title: "Soggy Swamp case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Soggy Swamp ($2.81) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.69% over 9,438 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp rendered: 2026-11-12T03:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Soggy Swamp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Soggy Swamp A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=all) Price · $2.81 · 4.02 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.69% · 9,438 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 78.83% ±15.41 1,490 openings 7 days · 85.35% ±8.14 7,508 openings 30 days · 87.69% ±7.50 9,438 openings since tracking started · 87.69% ±7.50 9,438 openings 63.0% 79.5% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=24h) | 1,490 | 78.83% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=7d) | 7,508 | 85.35% ±8.14 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp) | 9,438 | 87.69% ±7.50 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soggy-swamp?window=all) | 9,438 | 87.69% ±7.50 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-08 20:02 UTC [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-07 02:53 UTC [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-06 21:58 UTC [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-04 10:50 UTC [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-03 13:48 UTC [Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) [Kirito89](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Kirito89) $2.81 4.02 coins $165 235 coins 58.48x 2026-11-03 12:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=soggy-swamp) [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-hunting-blind-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $2.80 4 coins 1.00x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $66.92 95.6 coins 23.78x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [P250 | See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $1.64 2.34 coins 0.58x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [P250 | See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $1.64 2.34 coins 0.58x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [RustFunHaver42](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RustFunHaver42) $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:20 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $2.81 4.02 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $165 (58.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.69 on average: an expected loss of $12.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt