--- title: "Soup case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Soup ($25.07) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.05% over 7,238 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Soup](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Soup A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=all) Price · $25.07 · 35.82 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.05% · 7,238 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 563 openings · below min 7 days · 92.89% ±8.05 5,942 openings 30 days · 94.05% ±7.20 7,238 openings since tracking started · 94.05% ±7.20 7,238 openings 71.5% 103.3% 135.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=24h) | 563 | 103.26% ±30.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=7d) | 5,942 | 92.89% ±8.05 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup) | 7,238 | 94.05% ±7.20 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/soup?window=all) | 7,238 | 94.05% ±7.20 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $2,431 3,473 coins 96.95x 2026-11-07 17:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $2,431 3,473 coins 96.95x 2026-11-06 18:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) [Biggie](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Biggie) $25.07 35.82 coins $2,431 3,473 coins 96.95x 2026-11-05 17:45 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $1,667 2,381 coins 66.48x 2026-11-10 21:09 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $1,667 2,381 coins 66.48x 2026-11-10 03:49 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) [𝕯𝖊𝖆𝖘𝖙𝕸𝖔𝖓](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%F0%9D%95%AF%F0%9D%96%8A%F0%9D%96%86%F0%9D%96%98%F0%9D%96%99%F0%9D%95%B8%F0%9D%96%94%F0%9D%96%93) $25.07 35.82 coins $1,667 2,381 coins 66.48x 2026-11-03 14:25 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $1,079 1,541 coins 43.03x 2026-11-03 18:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [ГЕНЕРАЛ КУНИ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%D0%93%D0%95%D0%9D%D0%95%D0%A0%D0%90%D0%9B%20%D0%9A%D0%A3%D0%9D%D0%98) $25.07 35.82 coins $805 1,151 coins 32.12x 2026-11-10 20:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $622 889 coins 24.82x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $622 889 coins 24.82x 2026-11-05 01:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=soup) [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $38.83 55.47 coins 1.55x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) [MadBro ⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/MadBro%20%E2%9A%A1) $25.07 35.82 coins $2.25 3.21 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $9.25 13.22 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $18.97 27.1 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $38.83 55.47 coins 1.55x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $25.07 35.82 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) [frAnk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/frAnk) $25.07 35.82 coins $18.97 27.1 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,431 (96.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.05 on average: an expected loss of $5.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt