--- title: "Spacebound case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spacebound ($19.09) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.54% over 1,071 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound rendered: 2026-11-11T18:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Spacebound](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Spacebound A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=all) Price · $19.09 · 27.27 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.54% · 1,071 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 55 openings · below min 7 days · 700 openings · below min 30 days · 89.54% ±12.49 1,071 openings since tracking started · 89.54% ±12.49 1,071 openings 23.0% 69.3% 115.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=24h) | 55 | 69.19% ±45.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=7d) | 700 | 91.40% ±16.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound) | 1,071 | 89.54% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spacebound?window=all) | 1,071 | 89.54% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=spacebound) [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [Souvenir SG 553 | Integrale (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $186 266 coins 9.76x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) [Big yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Big%20yahu) $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-factory-new) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $2.25 3.22 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $94.93 136 coins 4.97x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.09 27.27 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.54 on average: an expected loss of $10.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt