--- title: "Spicy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spicy ($20.57) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 101.88% over 1,354 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy rendered: 2026-11-11T19:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Spicy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Spicy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=all) Price · $20.57 · 29.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 101.88% · 1,354 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87 openings · below min 7 days · 97.32% ±14.55 1,075 openings 30 days · 101.88% ±13.37 1,354 openings since tracking started · 101.88% ±13.37 1,354 openings 65.0% 129.5% 194.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=24h) | 87 | 129.44% ±63.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=7d) | 1,075 | 97.32% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy) | 1,354 | 101.88% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spicy?window=all) | 1,354 | 101.88% ±13.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=spicy) [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $10.58 15.12 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 14:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $20.57 29.38 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $2.11 3.01 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $18.45 26.35 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $66.11 94.44 coins 3.21x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $20.57 29.38 coins $317 452 coins 15.40x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/return) $20.57 29.38 coins $1.27 1.81 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 101.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $101.88 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt