--- title: "Splash case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Splash ($244.70) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.02% over 1,183 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Splash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Splash A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=all) Price · $244.70 · 350 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.02% · 1,183 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 124 openings · below min 7 days · 952 openings · below min 30 days · 84.02% ±9.86 1,183 openings since tracking started · 84.02% ±9.86 1,183 openings 58.0% 84.0% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=24h) | 124 | 83.89% ±25.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=7d) | 952 | 81.76% ±9.72 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash) | 1,183 | 84.02% ±9.86 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/splash?window=all) | 1,183 | 84.02% ±9.86 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · Souvenir](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $7,440 10,629 coins 30.41x 2026-11-04 18:13 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-nuke-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $4,464 6,377 coins 18.24x 2026-11-05 16:14 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Mirage Souvenir Package container · Souvenir](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,976 4,251 coins 12.16x 2026-11-08 13:29 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-10 23:40 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) [ADDICTED](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ADDICTED) $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-08 16:17 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) [gele-286675](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/gele-286675) $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-08 03:41 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-05 01:21 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-05 00:07 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Dust II Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $2,232 3,189 coins 9.12x 2026-11-03 09:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=splash) [Katowice 2019 Legends Autograph Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/katowice-2019-legends-autograph-capsule) [LIVE: kick.com/lepajee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LIVE%3A%20kick.com%2Flepajee) $245 350 coins $4.53 6.47 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2015-cache-souvenir-package) [LIVE: kick.com/lepajee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LIVE%3A%20kick.com%2Flepajee) $245 350 coins $201 287 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2015-cache-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $201 287 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Cologne 2016 Train Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-train-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $37.13 53.04 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2015 Cache Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2015-cache-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $201 287 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Katowice 2019 Legends Autograph Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/katowice-2019-legends-autograph-capsule) Hidden $245 350 coins $4.53 6.47 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-challengers) Hidden $245 350 coins $52.39 74.84 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Cologne 2016 Train Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-train-souvenir-package) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $245 350 coins $37.13 53.04 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Cologne 2016 Train Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-train-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $37.13 53.04 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC [Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-nuke-souvenir-package) Hidden $245 350 coins $82.61 118 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,440 (30.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.02 on average: an expected loss of $15.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt