--- title: "Spy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spy ($5.24) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.44% over 82.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Spy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Spy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=all) Price · $5.24 · 7.48 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.44% · 82.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 102.26% ±21.28 7,632 openings 7 days · 99.60% ±7.52 69.6K openings 30 days · 98.44% ±6.88 82.3K openings since tracking started · 98.44% ±6.88 82.3K openings 80.5% 102.3% 124.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=24h) | 7,632 | 102.26% ±21.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=7d) | 69.6K | 99.60% ±7.52 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy) | 82.3K | 98.44% ±6.88 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/spy?window=all) | 82.3K | 98.44% ±6.88 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-09 22:28 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Holo-.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Holo-.-) $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-09 06:53 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-08 21:10 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Hasan](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hasan) $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 15:51 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 15:44 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 15:23 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 14:58 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 14:50 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $1,381 1,973 coins 263.8x 2026-11-07 14:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=spy) [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) [Ano](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Ano) $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) Hidden $5.24 7.48 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,381 (263.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.44 on average: an expected loss of $1.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt