--- title: "Steamed case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Steamed ($161.78) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.56% over 1,801 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Steamed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Steamed A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=all) Price · $161.78 · 231 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.56% · 1,801 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 169 openings · below min 7 days · 86.87% ±14.39 1,266 openings 30 days · 89.56% ±12.28 1,801 openings since tracking started · 89.56% ±12.28 1,801 openings 48.5% 94.0% 139.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=24h) | 169 | 94.11% ±45.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=7d) | 1,266 | 86.87% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed) | 1,801 | 89.56% ±12.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/steamed?window=all) | 1,801 | 89.56% ±12.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) Hidden $162 231 coins $7,894 11,278 coins 48.80x 2026-11-05 13:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $4,597 6,567 coins 28.42x 2026-11-11 01:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $4,597 6,567 coins 28.42x 2026-11-03 19:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) [Espião](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Espi%C3%A3o) $162 231 coins $4,597 6,567 coins 28.42x 2026-11-03 13:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $162 231 coins $3,483 4,976 coins 21.53x 2026-11-08 00:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $162 231 coins $3,483 4,976 coins 21.53x 2026-11-03 14:18 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $2,630 3,758 coins 16.26x 2026-11-11 02:07 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $2,630 3,758 coins 16.26x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $2,630 3,758 coins 16.26x 2026-11-07 19:31 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $2,630 3,758 coins 16.26x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=steamed) [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $1.76 2.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $1.76 2.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $1.76 2.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $162 231 coins $655 935 coins 4.05x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $1,840 2,629 coins 11.38x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) [KickMisfitMason](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KickMisfitMason) $162 231 coins $219 313 coins 1.36x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $1.76 2.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) Hidden $162 231 coins $54.19 77.41 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $155 221 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) Hidden $162 231 coins $54.19 77.41 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,894 (48.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.56 on average: an expected loss of $10.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt